Scene-Conditioned Relation Routing for urban cellular activity forecasting

RESUMO

Urban cellular activity forecasting requires jointly modeling heterogeneous spatiotemporal signals, including SMS usage, mobile network traffic, and call activity. Existing methods often separate temporal modeling, spatial relation learning, and multi-signal prediction, relying on fixed graph structures or static multi-task learning schemes, which limits their adaptability to changing urban scenes. We propose SCRR-Net, a scene-conditioned spatial relation routing framework in which urban contextual information jointly controls spatial dependency selection and cross-task knowledge transfer. SCRR-Net includes a context encoder, a spatial graph expert routing module, a temporal Transformer encoder, and a task knowledge routing module. Experiments on the Milano and Trento datasets demonstrate that SCRR-Net consistently outperforms competing methods on SMS, network traffic, and call activity forecasting, while providing interpretable routing behaviors.