LPA-CWM: A Learned Physical Adjudicator for Motion Reasoning with Counterfactual World Models

RESUMO

Counterfactual world models (CWM) extract motion from pretrained video predictors by comparing factual and intervened predictions. However, responses generated under different target-frame masks vary in reliability, while uniform aggregation weights them equally. We formulate response aggregation as candidate reliability learning and propose LPA-CWM with a lightweight Learned Physical Adjudicator (LPA). Trained on dense MOVi-F trajectories, the 3.0M-parameter LPA compares visual context and response structure across an unordered candidate set to predict relative weights, while the CWM predictor and intervention generator remain frozen. The weighted responses undergo windowed localization and one paired re-evaluation to recover motion. We also introduce Completeness-aware Motion Correspondence (CMC), a ground-truth-anchored evaluation protocol that jointly measures localization, trajectory completeness, visibility, and continuity, counting missing predictions as failures on visible dynamic points. On the evaluated DAVIS and Kinetics subsets, LPA-CWM improves $\mathrm{DCA}_{\mathrm{avg}}$ over Uniform CWM by 60.0\% and 29.0\%, respectively, and also improves tracking accuracy under TAP-Vid First. A quick overview is available at this https URL .