A Data-Driven Framework for Identifying and Prioritizing RPA Opportunities in Healthcare Processes

RESUMO

Robotic Process Automation (RPA) is widely used to reduce administrative burden in United States hospitals, yet an estimated 30-50% of RPA initiatives underperform because processes are selected informally, without a repeatable method to catalogue candidates, prioritize them, match each to an automation tier -- a Python bot, an open-source orchestrator such as n8n, or an enterprise platform such as UiPath -- and forecast financial return before committing resources. We propose a four-module, data-driven framework unifying these decisions: a Process Taxonomy of twenty recurring hospital processes across five value streams; a Prioritization module deriving an Automation Suitability Index from an Analytic Hierarchy Process matrix with an explicit consistency check; a Tool-Tier Selection module recommending the least-cost technology sufficient for a process complexity, integration, and compliance profile; and a Return-on-Investment module quantifying labor savings, error-cost avoidance, payback, and net present value. Applied to a synthetic portfolio spanning all twenty processes, plus a reference data-flow architecture linking it to hospital EHR/payer/ERP systems: 12 of 20 clear the prioritization threshold; the ranking is robust to +/-20% weight perturbation (Spearman correlation 0.83, top-5 set preserved 97.7%, 2,000 Monte Carlo trials); an Automation Risk Index flags four qualifying processes as Critical risk; a budget-constrained portfolio optimization shows diminishing marginal NPV as spend scales from $400K to $1.03M; and a second Monte Carlo analysis shows portfolio NPV stays positive at its 5th percentile. The framework is a conceptual synthesis of the literature rather than an instrument calibrated on primary hospital data; we discuss HIPAA governance and a research agenda for empirical validation. A supplementary Python implementation accompanies the paper.