Revisiting dependence in multiple testing: empirical distribution approaches for FDP control

RESUMO

Large-scale multiple hypothesis testing is central to the analysis of high-throughput data, where controlling false discoveries is critical. Classical procedures typically rely on theoretical null distributions and often adjust for dependence among test statistics, but these approaches may be misleading when the empirical distribution of null statistics deviates from theoretical assumptions. Motivated by this observation, we investigate the role of the empirical cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of null test statistics in controlling the false discovery proportion (FDP). We first show that, under an oracle scenario where the empirical c.d.f. of the test statistics for all null hypotheses is known, FDP control can be achieved optimally regardless of the dependence structure, highlighting that explicit modeling of dependence may be unnecessary. Building on this insight, we propose an empirical c.d.f.-based FDP control (eFDP) method, implemented via a multivariate mixture model framework and a nonparametric estimation procedure for the empirical c.d.f.s, establish its asymptotic convergence, and construct an FDP control procedure that achieves asymptotic FDP control. Extensive simulations demonstrate that eFDP attains more accurate FDP control and higher power than existing approaches, particularly under strong dependence, and analysis of a high-dimensional breast cancer gene expression dataset confirms its practical utility.